Working thesis Public operating model Evidence-bound

Manish Sharma Lab

Industrial AI for Decisions You Can Verify

Sense -> Model -> Decide -> Verify

Industrial AI becomes useful when it does more than produce a confident output. It must stay connected to the signals it observed, the model assumptions it used, the decision it recommends, and the evidence that can verify the outcome.

Four-stage loop

Sense, Model, Decide, Verify

This is a practical operating model for public industrial-AI work, not a claim to own a new discipline.

Operating loop

Sense -> Model -> Decide -> Verify

Signals, assumptions, bounded decisions, and verification evidence.

Confidence is not approval. The loop is useful only when process signals, model assumptions, decisions, and verification evidence stay separate.

01

Sense

Collect signals, process data, context, operator observations, and missing-information cues.

02

Model

Combine machine learning, engineering rules, uncertainty, constraints, and traceable assumptions.

03

Decide

Structure recommendations, trade-offs, risk priorities, next actions, and human-review boundaries.

04

Verify

Connect decisions to inspection, measured outcomes, feedback loops, and physical evidence.

Use Sense for observed inputs, Model for assumptions and uncertainty, Decide for bounded recommendations, and Verify for inspection, testing, documentation, measured outcomes, and expert review.

Stage links

Connect each stage to a source, framework, or tool

The thesis is useful only when it routes readers to concrete LMD/DED resources and evidence boundaries.

Principles

Decision support has to keep uncertainty visible

The model is useful only when the decision path remains inspectable.

A signal is not proof.
A model output is not automatically an engineering decision.
Missing information should remain visible.
Confidence should not hide uncertainty.
Human review must be explicit where risk requires it.
Verification must match the consequence of failure.
Useful industrial AI creates traceability, not only predictions.

Interactive explainer

Signal is not proof.

Select a signal. The useful question is not whether the signal is interesting; it is what the signal can suggest, what it cannot prove, and what evidence closes the loop.

Selected signal

Melt-pool image feature

What it can suggest:

possible process drift, instability, spatter, geometry change, or review point

What it cannot prove:

final material quality, fatigue behavior, or service safety

Evidence needed next:

  • dimensional inspection
  • NDT where risk requires it
  • material testing or metallography when acceptance depends on it
  • expert review

Confidence is not approval. Monitoring can support review; it does not replace inspection, testing, expert review, or release evidence.

What changes the decision

Monitoring signals need context before they become useful

A signal becomes more useful when it can be tied to inspection, calibration, repeatability, and acceptance criteria.

Correlation with inspection
Drift history
Sensor calibration
Image quality
Process repeatability
Acceptance criteria

Applied proof

Grounded publicly in LMD / DED

The established public proof domain for this thesis is AI for Laser Metal Deposition and Directed Energy Deposition at Exafuse.

Process monitoring

Signals from LMD/DED systems can expose instability candidates, drift, and review points.

Melt-pool signals

A melt-pool signal can support awareness, but it does not prove final part quality by itself.

Bead geometry

Geometry indicators can guide process review and machining planning when tied to inspection evidence.

Repairability screening

Material, damage, access, tolerance, inspection, and criticality must remain visible before a recommendation hardens.

RFQ preparation

Known facts, missing information, assumptions, risks, and next steps should be separated.

Process route selection

LMD, DED, cladding, SLM/LPBF, machining, replacement, or no repair should be compared with explicit trade-offs.

Inspection evidence

Dimensional checks, NDT, material evidence, and expert review close the loop where risk requires it.

Use with

Public resources that make the thesis practical

These links connect the operating model to existing LMD/DED frameworks, evidence, and RFQ resources.